How green is not the Valley: The big issue Modi and Trump will likely avoid talking about

Narendra Modi and Donald Trump may overlook the significant issue of the massive backlog in employment-based green cards for skilled immigrants, particularly affecting Indian professionals. This backlog impedes innovation and benefits Big Tech while India's i…
Lolita Steuber · 9 days ago · 4 minutes read


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The Unspoken Truth About US Immigration: It's Not the H-1B Visa

The Green Card Backlog: A Modern Indentured Servitude

While the world speculates about H-1B visas dominating the Modi-Trump discussions, the real elephant in the room is the colossal green card backlog. This isn't just a bureaucratic hurdle; it's a system that traps highly skilled immigrants, particularly Indian nationals, in a state of perpetual dependence on their employers.

A recent Cato Institute report paints a stark picture: 1.8 million applicants languishing in the backlog, with a staggering 1.1 million being Indian. Imagine waiting a lifetime for permanent residency, with the grim possibility of passing away before receiving it! This is the reality for many. This system, which effectively binds skilled workers to their employers, resembles modern indentured labour.

Big Tech's Silent Complicity

And who benefits from this broken system? Silicon Valley. Executives, many with close ties to political leaders, have a vested interest in maintaining this status quo. A trapped workforce is a compliant workforce, less likely to jump ship to competitors or dare to launch their own ventures.

If these talented individuals held green cards, they would have the freedom to innovate, switch jobs, and potentially disrupt the very industries their current employers dominate. Instead, their potential is stifled, serving the interests of those advising on immigration policy.

India's Unexpected Gain

Ironically, India is reaping the rewards of America's immigration dysfunction. Frustrated by the endless wait, highly skilled Indian professionals are increasingly returning home, bringing with them invaluable expertise, extensive networks, and significant savings. This "reverse brain drain" is fueling India's burgeoning innovation economy.

As more disillusioned immigrants return, India's tech ecosystem strengthens, attracting more venture capital and birthing more globally impactful companies. This explains Modi's likely silence on the green card issue – India is, in a way, benefiting from it.

The Shifting Landscape of Tech Hiring

The H-1B visa, once a coveted gateway to Silicon Valley, is losing its allure. The hiring landscape has transformed, and the current H-1B quagmire makes the US less attractive to top-tier global talent.

My own experience with Vionix Biosciences underscores this shift. The failures of the US immigration system compelled me to establish my company elsewhere, leading me to India. Building Vionix required a diverse skillset – plasma physics, thermodynamics, electrical and mechanical engineering, and machine learning – which was proving difficult to source in Silicon Valley, compounded by visa challenges.

Relocating R&D to India provided access to a deep pool of talent, eliminated bureaucratic hurdles, and accelerated innovation. This allowed us to bypass the regulatory and funding obstacles that would have been insurmountable in the US.

The Future of Innovation: Beyond Silicon Valley

India's talent pool is not just deep; it's exceptionally skilled, and the cost efficiencies are undeniable. Companies are waking up to the realization that cutting-edge technology can be built outside the constraints of America's outdated immigration policies.

With remote work becoming the norm, geographical barriers have crumbled. The next generation of world-changing companies will increasingly emerge from India and other emerging tech hubs, not necessarily Silicon Valley.

A Wake-Up Call for America

The US is already losing ground. Without swift and decisive immigration reform, the hemorrhage of talent and innovation to more welcoming nations will continue.

China has overtaken the US in several key tech sectors, and India is rapidly catching up, fueled by its vibrant innovation ecosystem and returning talent. America faces a choice: reform its immigration system to attract and retain the world's best or watch its technological leadership erode.

The Unlikely Alliance of Silence

Will Trump and Modi address the true immigration crisis? It seems unlikely. They'll likely focus on illegal immigration, trade deals, and perhaps celebrate the contributions of Indian-Americans to Silicon Valley. But the green card backlog will remain untouched, as it serves the interests of Big Tech, the political establishment, and ironically, India itself.

Until the US acknowledges its broken immigration system as its Achilles' heel, it will continue to cede its technological dominance to nations more willing to embrace the future.

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